This came to my attention today, an open letter from Britain's Health Advisory and Recovery Team leads calling for a suspension of mRNA boosters. More research is urgently required and the UK Government should immediately commence Module 4 (vaccine efficacy) of the Covid Inquiry.
Hi, thanks for taking the time to write the article. The relationship between the rushed and minimally tested COVID vaccines and patterns in excess deaths needs a careful spotlight shone on it until there is a full and proper study.
It's a complex topic and important how to express, so I wondered about one thing you wrote - "With the worst of Covid over, annual deaths from all causes should have returned to at least pre-pandemic levels".
If we take 2023 as example, comparing 2023 to the "pre-pandemic' numbers of all-cause deaths, Scotland today has almost a 10% increase in people over 65 years old. We have 45,500 more 65-74 year olds (+8.1%), 22,100 more 75-84 year olds (+6.7%), and almost 15,000 more over 85 (a whopping +12.3%). With almost 10% more elderly people - especially 12% more over 85s - all cause deaths will inevitably be much higher than pre-pandemic?
I wondered what you thought of that, and how you consider population change when considering total number of deaths?
Do agree there are things very awry with all-cause deaths, especially in summer 2021, but it needs care to separate that from the population changes, and show it.
The mostconcerning issue about excess deaths in the UK, Scotland included, is that the numbers are highest in the young. In the 0-24 age group, statistics for England show a rise in deaths above what would normally be expected from January 2022, and persisting into 2023. Young people were first offered the vaccine in September 2021. As I mentioned in my post, the 50-64 age group experienced the most excess deaths. Most were not attributable to Covid. The causes were cardiovascular and ischaemic heart disease (heart attacks), heart failure, liver disease, and cerebrovascular disease (strokes), but there's no explanation as to why these should have risen. Dr John Campbell's video from last May goes into this data in greater detail. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qiWj9Jf2o-I
If you listened to Andrew Bridgen MP's speech during January's debate in the House of Commons, he cited Oxford Professor Carl Heneghan, who said the excess deaths cannot be explained by Covid, population growth or an ageing population. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ej5Se4gMRA
What's surprising is the silence from the UK and Scottish governments.
Thanks for taking the time to reply. I note the concerns on the young, albeit that is very different than the sentence I queried which expected total deaths to fall back to the pre-pandemic average (which I don't believe is a reasonable expectation given the demographic movement in Scotland).
I've spent an inordinate amount of time with Scotland's mortality datasets but very little with England's - so I can't really comment on those new points you mentioned, but I can comment a little from the Scottish perspective - the nations are broadly equivalently vaccinated, and consequences of that should be seen in both nations.
In Scotland once accounting for population movements we don't really see mortality in the young any higher than we would expect, all 50 and under are normal, except infants. Where we do see raised rates of deaths is in the 50-54 and 55-59 age groups, even in 2023. In groups older than that we saw significant excess in 2021, but much less so in 2022, and mostly back to normal in 2023.
Looking at heart disease, we do see an increased mortality in the young, but that started from 2013, and the increase we see today remains on the same uptrend started then, it wasn't made better or worse in recent years. So while higher heart disease exists it's hard to say "it was vaccine related", in part because the trend started earlier, and also that 2020 is as bad as 2021 (2020 with covid only, 2021 with covid+vaccines).
Looking at those patterns it becomes very tricky to separate (and to prove) what excess came from 'covid'(*), what excess came as a result of vaccinations, and what excess came as a result of the huge restriction of access to health and diagnostic services.
(*) This is important as if we're ever going to prove to officialdom that harm was done, we need to be able to show it wasn't what they would attribute to covid)
Note that by the above absolutely not saying that all is well with mortality in Scotland, for example the spike in neonatal mortality is horrendous, following immediately the decision to vaccinate during pregnancy
The increase in mortality rising by age group, which preceded by far the highest summer excess Scotland has ever seen. You can see one of our posts on this below, as well as Professor Ennos' article in ConWom
There are absolutely concerns, but I always feel we need to be very precise with them, that we can absolutely show that it's a real phenomenon (not due to demographics), and that the government can't simply attribute them to 'covid'. That was the reason for my original post above, as to set an expectation that death numbers will fall back to pre-pandemic levels is not realistic, and if we create a broad expectation for that it would be easily refuted by officialdom.
Sorry for the long post, and thanks for all the time and work you put in
Thanks - I'm very familiar with Dr. McCullough's arguments, and have no disagreement that the vaccines can be shown to cause mortality. Have been shouting that from the rooftops ever since it first showed up in the data early in 2021, and indeed the two links I shared above clearly show that in Scotland's nenonates and in Scotland's elderly there is a high likelihood and strong temporal correlation that the vaccines caused significant mortality.
But that's a very different assertion than comparing total all-cause deaths to pre-pandemic, or mortality rates in the 0-24 age group.
This came to my attention today, an open letter from Britain's Health Advisory and Recovery Team leads calling for a suspension of mRNA boosters. More research is urgently required and the UK Government should immediately commence Module 4 (vaccine efficacy) of the Covid Inquiry.
https://petermcculloughmd.substack.com/p/britains-health-advisory-and-recovery?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=1119676&post_id=141549039&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=2mqcm&utm_medium=email
Hi, thanks for taking the time to write the article. The relationship between the rushed and minimally tested COVID vaccines and patterns in excess deaths needs a careful spotlight shone on it until there is a full and proper study.
It's a complex topic and important how to express, so I wondered about one thing you wrote - "With the worst of Covid over, annual deaths from all causes should have returned to at least pre-pandemic levels".
If we take 2023 as example, comparing 2023 to the "pre-pandemic' numbers of all-cause deaths, Scotland today has almost a 10% increase in people over 65 years old. We have 45,500 more 65-74 year olds (+8.1%), 22,100 more 75-84 year olds (+6.7%), and almost 15,000 more over 85 (a whopping +12.3%). With almost 10% more elderly people - especially 12% more over 85s - all cause deaths will inevitably be much higher than pre-pandemic?
I wondered what you thought of that, and how you consider population change when considering total number of deaths?
Do agree there are things very awry with all-cause deaths, especially in summer 2021, but it needs care to separate that from the population changes, and show it.
Thanks again, enjoy the Substack!
Thanks for subscribing and for your comment.
The mostconcerning issue about excess deaths in the UK, Scotland included, is that the numbers are highest in the young. In the 0-24 age group, statistics for England show a rise in deaths above what would normally be expected from January 2022, and persisting into 2023. Young people were first offered the vaccine in September 2021. As I mentioned in my post, the 50-64 age group experienced the most excess deaths. Most were not attributable to Covid. The causes were cardiovascular and ischaemic heart disease (heart attacks), heart failure, liver disease, and cerebrovascular disease (strokes), but there's no explanation as to why these should have risen. Dr John Campbell's video from last May goes into this data in greater detail. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qiWj9Jf2o-I
If you listened to Andrew Bridgen MP's speech during January's debate in the House of Commons, he cited Oxford Professor Carl Heneghan, who said the excess deaths cannot be explained by Covid, population growth or an ageing population. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ej5Se4gMRA
What's surprising is the silence from the UK and Scottish governments.
And something else to view:
https://x.com/JNHanvey/status/1756003651238183033?s=2
Thanks for taking the time to reply. I note the concerns on the young, albeit that is very different than the sentence I queried which expected total deaths to fall back to the pre-pandemic average (which I don't believe is a reasonable expectation given the demographic movement in Scotland).
I've spent an inordinate amount of time with Scotland's mortality datasets but very little with England's - so I can't really comment on those new points you mentioned, but I can comment a little from the Scottish perspective - the nations are broadly equivalently vaccinated, and consequences of that should be seen in both nations.
In Scotland once accounting for population movements we don't really see mortality in the young any higher than we would expect, all 50 and under are normal, except infants. Where we do see raised rates of deaths is in the 50-54 and 55-59 age groups, even in 2023. In groups older than that we saw significant excess in 2021, but much less so in 2022, and mostly back to normal in 2023.
Looking at heart disease, we do see an increased mortality in the young, but that started from 2013, and the increase we see today remains on the same uptrend started then, it wasn't made better or worse in recent years. So while higher heart disease exists it's hard to say "it was vaccine related", in part because the trend started earlier, and also that 2020 is as bad as 2021 (2020 with covid only, 2021 with covid+vaccines).
Looking at those patterns it becomes very tricky to separate (and to prove) what excess came from 'covid'(*), what excess came as a result of vaccinations, and what excess came as a result of the huge restriction of access to health and diagnostic services.
(*) This is important as if we're ever going to prove to officialdom that harm was done, we need to be able to show it wasn't what they would attribute to covid)
Note that by the above absolutely not saying that all is well with mortality in Scotland, for example the spike in neonatal mortality is horrendous, following immediately the decision to vaccinate during pregnancy
The increase in mortality rising by age group, which preceded by far the highest summer excess Scotland has ever seen. You can see one of our posts on this below, as well as Professor Ennos' article in ConWom
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/are-vaccines-driving-excess-deaths-in-scotland-a-professor-of-biology-asks/
https://x.com/scojw/status/1455885771668443141?s=20
There are absolutely concerns, but I always feel we need to be very precise with them, that we can absolutely show that it's a real phenomenon (not due to demographics), and that the government can't simply attribute them to 'covid'. That was the reason for my original post above, as to set an expectation that death numbers will fall back to pre-pandemic levels is not realistic, and if we create a broad expectation for that it would be easily refuted by officialdom.
Sorry for the long post, and thanks for all the time and work you put in
Please take some time to view this interview with Dr. Peter McCullough. His peer-reviewed paper says the mRNA 'vaccines' should be withdrawn from the market since they are killing people. https://drtrozzi.substack.com/p/dr-mccullough-interview?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#media-04a2014f-8b3e-46d9-962c-eec8153ebfcc
Thanks - I'm very familiar with Dr. McCullough's arguments, and have no disagreement that the vaccines can be shown to cause mortality. Have been shouting that from the rooftops ever since it first showed up in the data early in 2021, and indeed the two links I shared above clearly show that in Scotland's nenonates and in Scotland's elderly there is a high likelihood and strong temporal correlation that the vaccines caused significant mortality.
But that's a very different assertion than comparing total all-cause deaths to pre-pandemic, or mortality rates in the 0-24 age group.